Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.005109 0.005390 0.005681 0.006003 0.006353 0.006721 0.007139
2025-12-28 0.004646 0.005058 0.005503 0.006023 0.006615 0.007273 0.008064
2026-01-04 0.004392 0.004884 0.005432 0.006093 0.006876 0.007780 0.008917
2026-01-11 0.004138 0.004675 0.005289 0.006048 0.006973 0.008078 0.009518
2026-01-18 0.003948 0.004522 0.005190 0.006036 0.007094 0.008393 0.010143
2026-01-25 0.003767 0.004364 0.005071 0.005984 0.007150 0.008620 0.010659
2026-02-01 0.003693 0.004328 0.005094 0.006102 0.007421 0.009127 0.011575
2026-02-08 0.003562 0.004214 0.005011 0.006077 0.007498 0.009380 0.012154
2026-02-15 0.003454 0.004121 0.004948 0.006072 0.007598 0.009662 0.012788
2026-02-22 0.003321 0.003992 0.004832 0.005987 0.007581 0.009778 0.013183
2026-03-01 0.003204 0.003877 0.004727 0.005912 0.007570 0.009896 0.013585
2026-03-08 0.003120 0.003801 0.004672 0.005899 0.007643 0.010136 0.014186
2026-03-15 0.002972 0.003637 0.004494 0.005711 0.007460 0.009993 0.014179
2026-03-22 0.002910 0.003586 0.004464 0.005729 0.007574 0.010297 0.014914
2026-03-29 0.002871 0.003562 0.004470 0.005794 0.007759 0.010719 0.015877
2026-04-05 0.002796 0.003487 0.004403 0.005753 0.007780 0.010884 0.016415
2026-04-12 0.002736 0.003431 0.004359 0.005742 0.007845 0.011122 0.017099
2026-04-19 0.002666 0.003359 0.004292 0.005693 0.007849 0.011259 0.017609
2026-04-26 0.002653 0.003364 0.004331 0.005803 0.008105 0.011825 0.018965
2026-05-03 0.002598 0.003309 0.004284 0.005779 0.008147 0.012032 0.019657
2026-05-10 0.002551 0.003265 0.004250 0.005774 0.008218 0.012292 0.020475
2026-05-17 0.002484 0.003190 0.004169 0.005696 0.008164 0.012329 0.020844
2026-05-24 0.002423 0.003122 0.004096 0.005625 0.008121 0.012381 0.021247